Q1 2025 Canada Real Estate: Cap Rate Analysis, Risks, and Strategic Opportunities
Breaking down CBRE’s Q1(First Quarter) Canadian Cap Rates & Investment Insights report for smart investors:

The Big Picture: Canada’s real estate market is showing mixed signals in early 2025. While headlines fret about tariffs and office vacancies, hidden opportunities are emerging for sharp-eyed investors. Let’s cut through the noise.
Key takeaways:
✅ Industrial properties are stealing the show (Ottawa’s cap rates dropped 75 bps!).
⚠️ Suburban offices are bleeding value (Toronto’s Class B hits 9% cap rates).
📈 Multifamily remains steady, but focus on low-rise and secondary cities.
Think of this as your cheat sheet for Q1.
What’s Hot Right Now
1. Industrial Warehouses: The New Gold Rush

Forget condos—2025 is all about logistics. With e-commerce booming and supply chains still recovering, cities like Ottawa (-75 bps), Calgary, and Halifax are seeing record demand.
Why it matters:
- Ottawa’s Class A industrial cap rates fell to 5.50–6.00%—the sharpest drop nationally.
- Edmonton’s industrial properties now offer 6.00–6.50% yields, attracting out-of-province buyers.
2. Grocery-Anchored Retail: Boring but Reliable
Strips malls with pharmacies or supermarkets are quietly crushing it. Their cap rates fell to 6.19% (vs. 6.63% for non-anchored strips).
Pro tip: Look for properties with lease renewals coming up—rents are rising 5–8% in prime areas.
3. Montreal’s Multifamily Magic
Montreal’s Low-Rise Class B cap rates dropped 37 bps as renters flock to affordable units. With rents up 8% YoY, it’s a cash flow machine.
What’s Cooling Down

1. Suburban Offices: Handle With Care
Toronto’s Suburban Class B cap rates hit 9.00%—a red flag for rising vacancies. Even lenders are avoiding these assets.
The exception: Prime downtown offices (e.g., Toronto Class AA at 5.25–6.00%) still attract global capital.
2. Condo Overload in Toronto
Over 4,000 new units hit the market in Q1. With construction costs up 15% YoY, margins are razor-thin.
3. Regional Malls: Stuck in Neutral

Flat cap rates (6.45%) and shaky tenant demand make these a “wait and see” play.

3 Smart Moves for 2025
- Swap condos for industrial: Target Ottawa or Halifax for yields 1–2% higher than Toronto.
- Bet on grocery strips: Stable income with less drama.
- Ditch suburban offices: Reinvest gains into multifamily (Montreal, Kitchener-Waterloo).
Not sure where to start? feel free to contact us
The Bottom Line
2025 isn’t the year to play it safe—it’s the year to get strategic. Focus on industrial, essential retail, and secondary cities.
For a personalized portfolio review, book a free consult with our team.